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Suppose that you want to set up a 3-month weighted moving average forecasting system.You want the weights to be percentages (that add to 100%) .Furthermore,you want weights for the most recent two months to be equal but you want each of those weights to be twice as large as the weight for the oldest month.What should the weight be for the oldest month?


A) 33%
B) 25%
C) 80%
D) 50%
E) 20%

F) C) and E)
G) A) and B)

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Time series models are generally more difficult to use than causal models.

A) True
B) False

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Qualitative forecasting methods


A) are made objectively by the forecaster
B) are made subjectively by the forecaster
C) are made using existing data sources
D) are based on mathematical models
E) are only used in parallel with quantitative models

F) C) and D)
G) D) and E)

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The simple moving average forecasting method uses fewer periods of data than the simple mean forecasting method does.

A) True
B) False

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Forecasting is not a function which contributes to:


A) deciding which business market to pursue
B) deciding which product to produce
C) deciding how bonuses should be allocated
D) deciding how much inventory to carry
E) deciding how many people to hire

F) B) and D)
G) A) and E)

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The most frequently used forecasting model is the ____________.

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exponentia...

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The difference between MSE and r2 is that _______________.

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MSE uses the sample size,n,in ...

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Suppose that you are using the four-period simple moving average method to forecast sales,and sales have been increasing by 20% every period.How will your forecasts perform?


A) Forecasts will be lower than actual.
B) Forecasts will be higher than actual.
C) Forecasts will equal actual.
D) Forecasts will be decreasing.
E) Forecasts will be increasing by 5.0% every period.

F) A) and E)
G) A) and D)

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Cover Me,Inc.sells umbrellas in three cities.Management assumes that annual rainfall is the primary determinant of umbrella sales,and it wants to generate a linear regression equation to estimate potential sales in other cities.Given the data below,what is the regression equation? Rainfall Sales X Y City A 36 in.2300 City B 30 in.2000 City C 12 in.800

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When evaluating forecasting models it is accurate to say:


A) they all rely on the same data sets
B) they will provide the same results
C) they are usually accurate
D) they differ in their degree of complexity
E) they do not differ in their degree of complexity

F) C) and D)
G) B) and D)

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"Do you have medium data sets?" is a key guideline for selecting software.

A) True
B) False

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Suppose that you are using the three-period simple moving average method to forecast sales,and sales have been increasing by 10% every period.Then your forecasts will be lower than the actual sales.

A) True
B) False

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What are the two categories of quantitative models?

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time serie...

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What is the mean absolute deviation and mean squared error of the following forecast What is the mean absolute deviation and mean squared error of the following forecast   A) 13,157 B) 14,321 C) 16,312 D) 17,316 E) 18,321


A) 13,157
B) 14,321
C) 16,312
D) 17,316
E) 18,321

F) A) and B)
G) A) and C)

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Which of the following is the least useful sales forecasting model to use when sales are increasing?


A) Trend adjusted exponential smoothing
B) Simple mean
C) Exponential smoothing
D) Weighted moving average
E) Naïve

F) A) and B)
G) B) and D)

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Economics relies on forecasting to predict the duration of economic turning points.

A) True
B) False

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When is exponential smoothing equivalent to the "naïve" approach to forecasting?


A) When the smoothing constant is chosen randomly
B) α = 0
C) α = 1
D) α = .5
E) When next month's forecast equals this month's forecast

F) A) and B)
G) All of the above

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A cycle is typically the most difficult data pattern to predict.

A) True
B) False

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A qualitative forecast is made subjectively by the forecaster.

A) True
B) False

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Over the long term,which of the following forecasting models will likely require carrying the least amount of data?


A) Naïve
B) Simple mean
C) Exponential smoothing
D) Weighted moving average
E) Moving average

F) B) and D)
G) C) and D)

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